NFL Week 14 Best Bets: Bucs Worth the Price Against Distressed Bills

We finished just 1-2 ATS on our best NFL bets in Week 13, highlighted by the Lions’ win over the Vikings but foiled by a crazy ending to the Ravens-Steelers game. Here are our best bets for week 14:

Raiders @ Chiefs (-10, 48), 1 p.m. ET

The Chiefs’ defense went from being a handicap to a strength seemingly overnight, but the results have been holding up for weeks now, and the under has cashed in week after week for this group.

Kansas City has allowed just 11.2 points per game since the start of November – the third smallest in the NFL. The Chiefs also recorded 12 combined sacks in that span and limited the five opponents to 250 passing yards or less. That includes a dominant Week 10 performance against the Raiders, who collected just 14 points thanks in part to totally ineffective ground play.

This performance was no accident, as Las Vegas has scored 16 points or less in four of its last five games. The Raiders won’t do much better on Sunday if their offensive line fails to broadcast this Chiefs pass rush.

Take: Raiders under 18.5 points

Seahawks (-8.5, 40.5) @ Texans, 1 p.m.

I’ve been as critical of Davis Mills as anyone since making his pro debut in week 2, and I never thought I would find myself betting on him a few months later. But plans change when a team as uninspiring as the Seahawks are seen as a big favorite on the road.

Seattle has nothing to do with so many points on the road after just one win since October, which was fueled by a false touchdown and an unlikely position on the goal line. We still haven’t seen a cohesive attack on the Seahawks since Russell Wilson was injured, making it difficult to buy a resounding victory anywhere.

Fittingly, the Texans have stayed within nine points – or won outright – in three of their last four games, while Seattle has just two wins by nine or more points this season and none since Week 8. Don’t be surprised to score so many points on an undeserved team.

Take: Texans +8.5

Bills @ Buccaneers (-3.5, 54), 4:25 p.m.

The Buccaneers have been hovering between -3 and -3.5 since before the Bills’ loss on Monday night, when Buffalo allowed the Patriots to walk without resistance with little resistance. That line didn’t make sense before this game, and it is even less so now.

What exactly have we seen of the Bills over the past two months to justify their price tag as nearly equal to the defending champions? Buffalo has lost four of its last seven games and is 1-4 this year against teams with a winning record, and we haven’t seen that slim secondary tested since losing all-star cornerback Tre’Davious. White for the season.

Meanwhile, the Bucs have won three straight wins and are No. 1 in DVOA with a 4-1 ATS record as favorites. They are the best team in the league and deserve more respect from punters against a club that has not proven itself among the NFL elite.

Take: Buccaneers -3.5

C Jackson Cowart is Sportsbook Writer at theScore. You can follow him on Twitter (@CJacksonCowart) or email him at

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